HUD Income Limits vs Daycare Costs by State

Research edition: September 16, 2026 · HUD Income Limits FY2026 (state statedata, 4-person 50%/80%) · HUD FMR FY2026 (2BR county median) · Childcare prices: DOL NDCP (mostly 2022)

This page pairs HUD income limits (FY2026 statedata Very Low / Low Income for a 4-person household) with daycare / childcare costs — an AMI-style cost-burden view, not a Section 8 or free-childcare eligibility calculator. States where infant care takes a large share of HUD income limits are not the same as the highest Fair Market Rent states. Across 49 states and D.C. with both NDCP infant prices and FY2026 income limits, annual center infant care equals about 24% of the HUD statedata 4-person Very Low Income (50%) limit — roughly 2.8 months of that limit for one year of care. Care-share-of-limit correlates only moderately with FMR but strongly with absolute infant prices.

Companion studies: Fair Market Rent vs daycare prices (housing rents vs tuition), service wages vs Fair Market Rent, and metro wages vs FMR. Absolute parent prices live on childcare prices by state.

Primary sources: HUD Income Limits via the HUD User FMR & Income Limits API; HUD Fair Market Rents; DOL Women’s Bureau NDCP. Year mismatch is labeled in the table.

What income limits vs childcare show

Among matched states, the median HUD statedata 4-person 50% limit is $52,750 and the median 80% limit is $84,400. Median center infant weekly price is $230.00. Median annual infant care ÷ 50% limit is 0.237; ÷ 80% limit is 0.148. Median annual 2BR FMR ÷ 50% limit is 0.260.

  • Hypothesis holds: Only 4 of the top-10 care-burden states (infant care ÷ 50% limit) also sit in the top-10 FMR list (California, District of Columbia, Hawaii, Massachusetts). Six top-10 care-burden states are outside top-10 FMR: Alaska, Colorado, Minnesota, Ohio, Oregon, Washington.
  • Prices drive the care-share ranking more than rents: Pearson 0.9202 with NDCP infant weekly prices vs 0.5703 with county-median 2BR FMR.
  • Highest care shares of the 50% limit: Massachusetts leads at 0.345, with Minnesota close behind despite a mid-pack FMR rank.
  • Rank divergence vs FMR: Minnesota’s care-share rank is #2 while its FMR rank is #33 (gap +31). Ohio, Oklahoma, Wisconsin, and Illinois also show large positive gaps.
  • Lower care shares of limits: South Dakota, Mississippi, Alabama, Kansas, Wyoming — often lower absolute infant prices relative to statedata limits, not a claim about voucher access.
  • Missing prices: Indiana and New Mexico have no usable NDCP center infant median; income limits and FMR still appear.

Highest annual infant care ÷ 4-person 50% income limit:

  1. Massachusetts: infant care is 34.5% of the 4-person 50% limit ($461.55/week NDCP 2022 vs $69,500 VLI).
  2. Minnesota: infant care is 34.1% of the 4-person 50% limit ($390.00/week NDCP 2022 vs $59,450 VLI).
  3. California: infant care is 32.8% of the 4-person 50% limit ($379.21/week NDCP 2022 vs $60,100 VLI).
  4. Alaska: infant care is 31.3% of the 4-person 50% limit ($361.90/week NDCP 2022 vs $60,150 VLI).
  5. Oregon: infant care is 31.1% of the 4-person 50% limit ($329.44/week NDCP 2022 vs $55,150 VLI).

Largest care-vs-FMR rank gaps (FMR rank − care-share rank; positive = burden ranks higher than rent):

  1. Minnesota: care-share rank #2 vs FMR rank #33 (gap +31).
  2. Ohio: care-share rank #6 vs FMR rank #31 (gap +25).
  3. Oklahoma: care-share rank #19 vs FMR rank #39 (gap +20).
  4. Wisconsin: care-share rank #12 vs FMR rank #32 (gap +20).
  5. Illinois: care-share rank #20 vs FMR rank #37 (gap +17).

Read this as context, not eligibility advice. HUD income limits vary by household size and by local metro/county area. We use HUD’s official il/statedata 4-person fields as a comparable state endpoint — not a homemade statewide AMI, and not every PHA’s local schedule. A household’s actual limit depends on family size and the HUD area covering their address. This page does not determine Section 8 eligibility.

Charts

Scatter plot of infant care as a share of HUD 50 percent income limits versus county-median 2-bedroom Fair Market Rent by state, showing only moderate correlation.
Care burden against income limits versus Fair Market Rent levels — related but not the same ranking.
Horizontal bar chart of states with the highest annual infant center care as a share of HUD 4-person 50 percent income limits, led by Massachusetts and Minnesota.
Ratio = (NDCP center infant weekly × 52) ÷ HUD statedata 4-person Very Low Income (50%) limit. Dashed line marks the matched-state median (0.24).
Horizontal bar chart of states where childcare-versus-income-limit ranks exceed Fair Market Rent ranks, led by Minnesota and Ohio.
Rank gap = FMR rank − infant-care-share-of-IL50 rank among 49 matched states (rank 1 = highest).
Scatter comparing annual 2-bedroom Fair Market Rent and annual infant care, each as a share of the same HUD 50 percent income limit, with an equal-share reference line.
Both axes use the same HUD 4-person 50% limit denominator. Points above the dashed line spend more of that limit on infant care than on 2BR FMR rent (at these state rollups).

State-by-state table

Sort and filter the comparison. State names link to our daycare startup guides. Ranks use only the 49 states/DC with both income limits and infant prices.

HUD FY2026 income limits (statedata) vs NDCP infant prices and FY2026 2BR FMR
State IL FY Statedata AMI 4p 50% (VLI) 4p 80% (LI) 2BR FMR (co. med.) Price yr Infant $/wk Care÷50% Care÷80% FMR÷50% Care rank FMR rank Gap
Massachusetts 2026 $139,000 $69,500 $106,800 $2,227 2022 $461.55 34.5% 22.5% 38.5% 1 3 2
Minnesota 2026 $118,900 $59,450 $95,100 $999 2022 $390.00 34.1% 21.3% 20.2% 2 33 31
California 2026 $120,200 $60,100 $96,150 $1,686 2022 $379.21 32.8% 20.5% 33.7% 3 9 6
Alaska 2026 $120,300 $60,150 $96,250 $1,424 2022 $361.90 31.3% 19.6% 28.4% 4 12 8
Oregon 2026 $110,300 $55,150 $88,250 $1,392 2022 $329.44 31.1% 19.4% 30.3% 5 15 10
Ohio 2026 $98,800 $49,400 $79,050 $1,016 2022 $295.00 31.1% 19.4% 24.7% 6 31 25
Colorado 2026 $127,800 $63,900 $102,250 $1,246 2022 $377.40 30.7% 19.2% 23.4% 7 22 15
District of Columbia 2026 $166,100 $83,050 $106,800 $2,246 2022 $490.00 30.7% 23.9% 32.5% 8 2 -6
Hawaii 2026 $126,500 $63,250 $101,200 $2,492 2022 $365.77 30.1% 18.8% 47.3% 9 1 -8
Washington 2026 $126,800 $63,400 $101,450 $1,374 2022 $357.31 29.3% 18.3% 26.0% 10 16 6
Vermont 2026 $111,500 $55,750 $89,200 $1,362 2021 $313.12 29.2% 18.3% 29.3% 11 18 7
Wisconsin 2026 $105,800 $52,900 $84,650 $1,010 2022 $293.00 28.8% 18.0% 22.9% 12 32 20
Connecticut 2026 $129,500 $64,750 $103,600 $1,865 2022 $350.00 28.1% 17.6% 34.6% 13 6 -7
New York 2026 $111,900 $55,950 $89,500 $1,360 2022 $300.00 27.9% 17.4% 29.2% 14 19 5
Nevada 2026 $101,600 $52,750 $84,400 $1,393 2022 $275.63 27.2% 17.0% 31.7% 15 14 -1
Arizona 2026 $103,600 $51,800 $82,900 $1,365 2022 $270.00 27.1% 16.9% 31.6% 16 17 1
Rhode Island 2026 $114,000 $57,000 $91,200 $1,729 2022 $289.59 26.4% 16.5% 36.4% 17 8 -9
Delaware 2026 $111,400 $55,700 $89,100 $1,470 2022 $280.28 26.2% 16.4% 31.7% 18 11 -7
Oklahoma 2026 $87,100 $43,550 $69,700 $937 2022 $215.46 25.7% 16.1% 25.8% 19 39 20
Illinois 2026 $112,600 $56,300 $90,100 $952 2022 $278.33 25.7% 16.1% 20.3% 20 37 17
Maryland 2026 $137,100 $68,550 $106,800 $1,845 2022 $327.39 24.8% 15.9% 32.3% 21 7 -14
New Jersey 2026 $134,600 $67,300 $106,800 $2,205 2022 $313.73 24.2% 15.3% 39.3% 22 4 -18
Nebraska 2026 $105,700 $52,850 $84,550 $961 2022 $243.75 24.0% 15.0% 21.8% 23 36 13
Florida 2026 $98,700 $49,350 $78,950 $1,471 2022 $225.00 23.7% 14.8% 35.8% 24 10 -14
New Hampshire 2026 $131,800 $65,900 $105,450 $1,918 2022 $300.05 23.7% 14.8% 34.9% 25 5 -20
Tennessee 2026 $94,900 $47,450 $75,900 $975 2022 $211.67 23.2% 14.5% 24.7% 26 35 9
Missouri 2026 $97,100 $48,550 $77,700 $888 2020 $214.94 23.0% 14.4% 21.9% 27 44 17
Maine 2026 $105,000 $52,500 $84,000 $1,418 2022 $230.00 22.8% 14.2% 32.4% 28 13 -15
Montana 2026 $103,100 $51,550 $82,500 $1,307 2022 $220.81 22.3% 13.9% 30.4% 29 20 -9
South Carolina 2026 $95,800 $47,900 $76,650 $1,077 2022 $198.93 21.6% 13.5% 27.0% 30 27 -3
North Carolina 2026 $97,900 $48,950 $78,300 $1,086 2022 $202.52 21.5% 13.4% 26.6% 31 26 -5
Pennsylvania 2026 $106,000 $53,000 $84,800 $1,138 2020 $217.90 21.4% 13.4% 25.8% 32 24 -8
Virginia 2026 $120,500 $60,250 $96,400 $1,254 2022 $246.72 21.3% 13.3% 25.0% 33 21 -12
West Virginia 2026 $82,500 $41,250 $66,000 $915 2022 $167.49 21.1% 13.2% 26.6% 34 42 8
Georgia 2026 $101,700 $50,850 $81,350 $1,074 2022 $205.00 21.0% 13.1% 25.3% 35 28 -7
North Dakota 2026 $109,000 $54,500 $87,200 $873 2022 $213.81 20.4% 12.8% 19.2% 36 48 12
Utah 2026 $118,000 $59,000 $94,400 $1,181 2022 $226.27 19.9% 12.5% 24.0% 37 23 -14
Texas 2026 $101,500 $50,750 $81,200 $1,054 2022 $185.00 19.0% 11.8% 24.9% 38 29 -9
Louisiana 2026 $84,900 $42,450 $67,900 $946 2022 $153.33 18.8% 11.7% 26.7% 39 38 -1
Arkansas 2026 $83,300 $41,650 $66,650 $880 2021 $147.50 18.4% 11.5% 25.4% 40 45 5
Michigan 2026 $98,400 $49,200 $78,700 $1,033 2022 $173.20 18.3% 11.4% 25.2% 41 30 -11
Kentucky 2026 $87,300 $43,650 $69,850 $900 2022 $151.30 18.0% 11.3% 24.7% 42 43 1
Idaho 2026 $101,600 $50,800 $81,300 $1,100 2022 $166.41 17.0% 10.6% 26.0% 43 25 -18
Iowa 2026 $102,100 $51,050 $81,700 $919 2022 $165.98 16.9% 10.6% 21.6% 44 41 -3
Wyoming 2026 $100,100 $50,050 $80,100 $980 2022 $161.17 16.7% 10.5% 23.5% 45 34 -11
Kansas 2026 $101,300 $50,650 $81,050 $877 2022 $157.33 16.2% 10.1% 20.8% 46 47 1
Alabama 2026 $89,500 $44,750 $71,600 $879 2022 $136.01 15.8% 9.9% 23.6% 47 46 -1
Mississippi 2026 $81,100 $40,550 $64,900 $842 2022 $118.68 15.2% 9.5% 24.9% 48 49 1
South Dakota 2026 $103,400 $51,700 $82,700 $929 2022 $150.00 15.1% 9.4% 21.6% 49 40 -9
Indiana 2026 $95,300 $47,650 $76,250 $1,008 25.4%
New Mexico 2026 $89,000 $44,500 $71,200 $1,040 28.0%

Download the CSV (same columns, machine-readable).

Planning notes for daycare operators

Parent tuition that is high relative to local assistance income thresholds can shape who pays privately versus who seeks subsidies — but PHA rules, wait lists, and voucher payment standards are local. For opening or expanding a center, pair this eligibility-context view with:

FAQ

What percentage of income should be spent on childcare?

This page does not set a budgeting rule. Descriptively, among 49 matched states/D.C., annual center infant care is about 23.7% of the HUD 4-person Very Low Income (50%) limit and about 14.8% of the Low Income (80%) limit (NDCP prices mostly 2022; limits FY2026). Shares vary widely by state — Massachusetts ~34.5% of the 50% limit; South Dakota ~15.1%.

Is there an income limit for HUD?

HUD publishes income limits used in assisted-housing programs (here: statedata 4-person Very Low Income / 50% and Low Income / 80%, FY2026). Median matched-state 50% limit is about $52,750 and 80% about $84,400 on this page’s extract. We compare daycare costs to those limits as a burden metric — not legal advice on whether any household qualifies.

What are the income limits for HUD-assisted housing in Oregon in 2026?

On this page’s FY2026 statedata extract, Oregon’s 4-person Very Low Income (50%) limit is $55,150 and Low Income (80%) is in the same state row (see downloadable CSV). Oregon ranks high on infant-care share of the 50% limit (~31.1% / center infant ~$329.44 weekly, mostly 2022). County-level limits and program eligibility can differ — check HUD User / local PHA for official determinations.

Which states have the lowest costs for daycare?

Absolute NDCP center infant weekly medians on the companion wage-price table put Mississippi lowest ($118.68), then Alabama and Arkansas. On this income-limits page, the lowest care ÷ 50% limit shares include South Dakota (~15.1%), Mississippi (~15.2%), Alabama (~15.8%), Kansas, and Wyoming — lower shares relative to limits, not “easy eligibility.”

Methods, sources, and limits

Dataset schema
  • Income limits: HUD User API il/statedata/{ST}?year=2026 — fields median_income, very_low.il50_p4, low.il80_p4. D.C. used il/data/1100199999 after statedata HTTP 400.
  • FMR: HUD fmr/statedata FY2026; statewide figure = unweighted median of county 2BR FMRs (town rows collapsed first).
  • Prices: DOL NDCP state center infant weekly medians (mostly 2022).
  • Care÷50%: (weekly × 52) ÷ 4-person Very Low Income limit.
  • FMR÷50%: (monthly county-median 2BR × 12) ÷ same 50% limit.
  • Gap: FMR rank − care-share rank (positive = care burden ranks ahead of rent).
Why statedata is not “median of counties”

HUD publishes state endpoint income limits separately from county/metro area limits. A sample of county il/data pulls for Arkansas (75 counties) found statedata 4-person 50% at $41,650 versus an unweighted county median of $35,550. California’s sample (40 counties returned) showed statedata $60,100 vs county median $50,950. We use statedata deliberately as HUD’s state fields — we do not invent a statewide AMI by averaging counties.

Limitations
  • Not legal advice; not a household eligibility calculator.
  • Not a ranking of “best states for Section 8.”
  • FY2026 income limits/FMR vs mostly-2022 NDCP prices — years differ; dollars are nominal.
  • 4-person limits only; other household sizes differ.
  • FMR is a program rent estimate, not asking rent or commercial daycare rent.
  • Indiana and New Mexico lack NDCP center infant medians in the state workbook.

Full methods live with the study artifacts under hud-income-limits-daycare-2026-09-16/METHODS.md.